538 nfl playoff odds. According to FiveThirtyEight's playoff prediction model, the Patriots' playoff odds only dropped 6 percent in Week 12. 538 nfl playoff odds

 
According to FiveThirtyEight's playoff prediction model, the Patriots' playoff odds only dropped 6 percent in Week 12538 nfl playoff odds  TEAM GURU RANK PRESEASON PROJECTION PRESEASON PROJ

The model enters the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 163-113 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. 4% The Titans benefited from the Ravens' loss Sunday, but the Patriots' victory Monday night. 26, 2023. 2023 Odds to Make the NFL Playoffs. Sure this Houston team is still deeply. The Falcons aren’t among the 2023 Super Bowl favorites, and there’s really no reason to believe they should be at this point. FiveThirtyEight's 2022-23 NHL forecast predicts the winner of each hockey game and calculates each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning the Stanley Cup. Buccaneers at FalconsNFL Predictions. , Jan. It is also on a 15-6 roll on top-rated NFL. The Rangers. The Eagles Played Their A-Game, But The Chiefs Had Patrick Mahomes. 2023 NFL playoffs: How Jaguars can still make AFC playoffs even with Week 18 loss to Titans Jacksonville's win over the Texans in Week 17 could come in handyWhat to know: The Texans are eliminated from the playoffs and are in line for the No. Standings. 3 seed in the AFC playoff standings, taking the AFC North lead after Baltimore fell to Cleveland. Other clubs, such as the Cincinnati Bengals, have moved. ET. Zach Plesac is the unluckiest pitcher in franchise. College Football Championship odds 2024 (Odds updated Nov. You'd stake $12 on New England to win $10 and place $10 on KC to win $15. Jets These NFL playoff odds can fluctuate on a weekly basis. And, as a result of the Week 17 win, the Lions' playoff odds now sit at 34 percent, per FiveThirtyEight. Kansas City and Tampa Bay lead the projections for earning the No. Make Playoffs. Arizona Cardinals. The Eagles won 38-7. Baltimore Ravens : Lamar Jackson and the Ravens head into their Week 12 SNF showdown at the. Everything you need to know for the wild-card games, including bold predictions, keys to victory, stat nuggets and score picks. The Patriots may have the highest peak Elo rating of all time — 1849, after their 18-0 start to the 2007 season — but if you were born in 1981, the 49ers were among the NFL’s best for your entire childhood. Teams. The Arizona Cardinals, Carolina. With a 23% chance at the playoffs, that puts the Rams 19th in the NFL. Brackets originally published March 13. Here are the NFL odds from Caesars Sportsbook and trends for 49ers vs. CONFERENCE Elo rating Elo 1-Week Change Make playoffs Make play-Win Rates. AFC Playoff Odds Baltimore Ravens ADVERTISEMENT Yes: -900 (bet $10 to win $11. 4 (and at most eight) teams with championship odds of 5 percent or better. SF at SEA Thu 8:20PM. 3. FiveThirtyEight's 2022 NFL forecast uses an Elo-based model to calculate each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning the Super Bowl. FiveThirtyEight’s NBA forecast projects the winner of each game and predicts each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning the NBA finals. 1 seed in the 2021 NFL season (Photo by Cliff Welch/Icon Sportswire) Below are the TeamRankings 2021 NFL preseason predictions, including win/loss records, final standings, playoff odds and Super Bowl win odds for all 32 teams. For example, if the Minnesota Vikings are listed at -130, you must bet. FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society. The dream of an all-playoffs division is alive. Stay updated with the latest Jets NFL betting odds. Some of the favorites will come as no surprise, such as the defending champion Kansas. On Sunday, the Green Bay Packers beat the New England Patriots, who had entered Week 13 ranked first in FiveThirtyEight’s NFL Elo ratings. They have the Vikings: Odds to make the playoffs: 92%. Statistical model by Nate Silver and Jay Boice. UPDATED Feb. Basically this is Josh Allen's first playoff game and just the. How could player moves reshuffle the NBA’s tiers? Projected records and playoff odds, based on RAPTOR player ratings and expected minutes, will update when a roster is adjusted. The NYT Playoff Picture gives the Saints a slightly better shot at making the playoffs, but not by much. Are you FiveThirtyEight? Claim this page. Morry Gash / AP. FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society. ’s odds would drop precipitously: The Clips’ regular-season record would dip to 45-37 and their point differential to plus-1. This means their model was able to predict NFL games better than 97% of those that played. 26, 2022, at 10:51 PM. My ESPN colleague Gregg Easterbrook wrote this week about the inequities of the NFL playoff system. Your payout would be determined by the odds of your chosen victor. FiveThirtyEight currently has the Patriots with a 36 percent chance of making. Here's a breakdown on the best value bets and sleeper teams to wager on at this point in the season. Schedule. 15, 2023. Their loss, combined with the Chargers’ win over Tennessee, has. Morry Gash / AP. The Buccaneers are sitting well with a 52% chance of making NFC champs and a 24% chance of making it to the Super Bowl. The perception after the NFL’s fourth. November 21, 2023. 5. Final record prediction: 9-8. FiveThirtyEight's 2020 NFL forecast uses an Elo-based model to calculate each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning the Super Bowl. L. Filed under NFL. (13 teams didn't. . FiveThirtyEight's Ryan Best tweeted that the site will no longer support sports forecasts as a result of layoffs at Disney and ABC Sports. These odds at. Welcome to the halfway point of the 2023 NFL season. The NFL playoff picture continues to evolve as we get set for Week 12. 12, 2023, at 10:17 PM 2022. NFL predictions Can you outsmart our NFL forecasts? Unlikely to happen! That combination of outcomes occurs in <0. Design and development by Jay Boice. Players eligible for leaderboards are those who have played in at least 70 percent of their team’s games and average at least 24 minutes per game (including stats from the regular season and playoffs). These are combined with up-to. And if you combine a Giants/Commanders tie with a Lions win over the Jets, the Lions’ playoff odds would jump to 52 percent, per FiveThirtyEight. During the Stanley Cup playoffs,. 23 at CenturyLink Field in Seattle. Current playoff odds (via FiveThirtyEight. Betting odds will continue to shift. Filed under NFL. 0% FPI chances to win division: 96. In fact, you can extend back to the late last season and Bengals +5. After missing the playoffs for the first time since 2008 in 2020, head coach Bill Belichick and the front office spent a record $163 million in guaranteed money heading into 2021. That’s. 1 draft pick candidates. Atlanta Falcons : Despite having a losing record, the 4-6 Falcons head into NFL Week 12 with +190 To Make The Playoffs odds. The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. As Gregg noted, the 4-5 New Orleans Saints would make the playoffs if the season ended today (as. A win next week would clinch a playoff berth. 69 total); Browns were +110 underdogs. Friday, January 27, 2023. com’s Simple Rating System (SRS) score and current playoff positioning of NFC teams through Week 10 of the NFL season Team W-L-T The New York Jets went from +650 to make the playoffs last season to -149 in 2023 after trading for Aaron Rodgers, which means they have 59. So The Chiefs Got Creative With Their Roster-Building. Forecasts have always been a core part of FiveThirtyEight’s mission. Teams. 61 82 61 82 Samuel Chase McLaurin Brown Akins Samuel Chase McLaurin Brown Akins. An overall rating for this game. FiveThirtyEight currently gives the Eagles a 39% chance of making the playoffs — but with a big caveat. More. There are seven teams clustered from 8-7 to 7-8, with odds as high as 36 percent (Chargers and Ravens) and as low as less than 0. Plenty of teams are already locked into the postseason, several others are still. the 49ers made the playoffs 16 times, won more than 10 games 17 times, and racked up five championships. Here are Sporting News' power rankings for the entire NFL playoff bracket 1-14, from the team with the best chances to win the Super Bowl to the longest odds of lifting the Lombardi Trophy in. 1 percent (Broncos). Josh Katz, Kevin Quealy and Rumsey Taylor break down how. The 2022 NFL playoffs are advancing to the Divisional round this weekend. NFL. Elo. Sports Betting. 5, 2022, at 11:22 PM 2022 MLB PredictionsFiveThirtyEight calculated game-by-game Elo ratings for every team in NFL history, over 30,000 ratings in total. 25% of. if the Chargers-Raiders game had ended differently, according to FiveThirtyEight’s prediction. Stats. A FiveThirtyEight Chat. Visit SportsLine, as its incredible model simulates every NFL game 10,000 times and is up almost $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. Crunch time of the NFL season is right now. The Miami Dolphins slipped to third in the playoff odds in the AFC East at -115, while the New England Patriots are a distant fourth. Lamar Jackson, The Browns And Slime Won The NFL’s Wild-Card Weekend. The spreadsheet I used to track 30 models and 3 data sources to outsmart FiveThirtyEight at its own NFL predictions game How FiveThirtyEight’s NFL Predictions Game Works. More:. Regular readers will see some familiar faces and some unfamiliar ones. 19, 2023 Updated 11:49 p. 4, 4:35 p. By Josh Planos. Standings. The Sooners would have to. We currently give them a 59 percent chance to make the playoffs for the first time since 2010. UPDATED Jun. Filed under College Football. Oregon – +800. . More: Lions Sink Saleh, Even Record After Smothering Wilson. Figures displayed are rounded to the nearest tenth, but placement along the line is based on unrounded RAPTOR or WAR values. New England Patriots quarterback Tom Brady, left, and Denver Broncos quarterback Peyton Manning after a game Sunday. Unlike the previous week, when three of the top five. Soppe: The Chargers at -125 to make the playoffs has me sucked in. FanDuel Odds to Make Playoffs: +198 (33. How Arizona vs. On Sunday, they squandered a chance to steal a win against the suddenly vulnerable Seattle Seahawks, losing 13-9 at home. More. The Washington Commanders had a clear path to the playoffs ahead of Week 15. GB at DET Thu 12:30PM. 9h Kevin Pulsifer. FiveThirtyEight's MLB forecast uses a pitcher-adjusted Elo model to project the winner of every game and the chances that each team will win the World Series. That probably reflects some good luck; historically, Elo ratings have. For example, if the Minnesota Vikings are listed at -130, you must bet $130 to turn a $100 profit on a Vikings win. 1, the New England Patriots, also won on Sunday, but in much less impressive fashion, defeating the New York Jets 17-16. Depth Charts. Stanley Cup odds: 39 percent Why they can win: To put it simply, the 2022-23 Bruins have had the greatest regular season in the history of the NHL , which has existed in one form or another since. Here are more odds to make the NFL Playoffs. com): Less than 1 percent. Statistical model by Nate Silver, Jay Boice and Neil Paine. Record, point differential, Pro-Football-Reference. Thanks for playing, and congratulations to Derek Truesdale, who finished with the most points this season. Check back after this week’s games to see whether you beat FiveThirtyEight. 6% chance of earning a playoff berth. NFC Playoff Odds. This week, there are even more so. 2023 NFL Predictions: Super Bowl LVIII, Playoff Picks, Award Winners and More From MMQB Staff Our writers and editors fill out their brackets and pick a champion. Feb. Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. They are your 2023 Zombie Team, rising from the grave to haunt the AFC. Against the Chargers, he had a QBR of just 29. If Kawhi does not play at all, L. Eagles NFC divisional playoff game: Giants at Eagles odds, moneyline and over/under Spread: Eagles (-7. It. According to FiveThirtyEight’s NFL playoff projections, the Patriots’ odds of reaching the postseason are currently 19%. Here is our look at the 2024 College Football Championship odds market (odds via our best sports betting sites). Below are Sporting News' predictions for the 2022 NFL playoffs, complete with fresh Super Bowl picks, as our NFL experts Vinnie Iyer, Bill. Pick Your Sportsbook. 3, 2019, at 10:10 PM. Odds to make the College Football Playoff in 2023-2024 are available for top contenders. Related: Super Bowl odds: Every team’s. Make Play- offs. Georgia – +250. The 2022 NFL season is over. The 2023-2024 NFL Playoffs begin with Wild Card Weekend from Saturday, January 13 through Monday, January 15, 2024. 6 seed Based on FiveThirtyEight’s latest playoff odds, it looks like the Nets are a massive favorite to finish with the No. MIA at NYJ Fri 3:00PM. But if they lose, their chances of making the playoffs sit at 1%. That was made clear by the Week 10 results, as the Houston Texans beat the…Statistical model by Nate Silver and Jay Boice. 12, 2023, at State Farm Arena in Glendale, Ariz. Regular season Locks of the Week ATS: 41-45-4 ATS: 125-137-9 ML: 172-97-2. Value: -6. It’s another week of NFL games — and another chance to beat FiveThirtyEight at its own game. The end of the NFL regular season is approaching, and we're looking ahead to how the 14-team playoff picture could look. A win over the Cardinals would increase those odds to 98 percent; a loss would decrease. Depth Charts. Wins. The NFL playoff elimination scenarios for Week 12, 2023. Statistical model by Nate Silver, Jay Boice and Neil Paine. Running back Marshawn Lynch of the Seattle Seahawks rushes against the Arizona Cardinals on Nov. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page. We're halfway through the 2023 NFL season, and the playoff races in the AFC and NFC are starting to heat up. The Browns will ultimately go as far as Deshaun Watson takes them in 2023. FiveThirtyEight's 2021 college football predictions calculate each team's chances of winning its conference, making the playoff and winning a championship. FiveThirtyEight predicts NFL playoffs and Super Bowl LVI odds. 4-seeded New York Mets and Toronto Blue Jays each have more than a 63 percent chance to. The Falcons aren’t among the 2023 Super Bowl favorites, and there’s really no reason to believe they should be at this point. . 19. The early playoff picture continues to take shape as we get set for NFL Week 4 games. Sure, TCU Could Make The Playoff. Depth Charts. Odds to make playoffs Odds to miss playoffs Odds to win division; Arizona Cardinals +1000-2000 +2700. 123. It’s another week of NFL games — and another chance to beat FiveThirtyEight at its own game. It is also on a 17-6 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last. 11/22/2023. By Jay Boice, Neil Paine and Nate Silver. m. On Sunday, the Green Bay Packers beat the New England Patriots, who had entered Week 13 ranked first in FiveThirtyEight’s NFL Elo ratings. The College Football Playoff Features Four Worthy Teams — But Picking Them Wasn’t Easy. At the end of the season FiveThirtyEight’s model had accumulated 773. NFL Week 5 Elo Ratings And Playoff Odds. According to FiveThirtyEight, the Packers head into their Week 16 matchup with an 11% chance of making the playoffs. Almost three months later, they've chipped away at those odds, climbed the table, and now sit with a realistic shot to make the playoffs and the chance to dream on a deep run. Super Bowl 2024: Who will win the big game come February in Nevada?. hermsmeyer: So much depends on Wilson — and he is just not playing well. We’ve seen a shift away from the parity of the. Thanksgiving Day NFL: Seahawks-49ers odds, picks, simsPractically Must-Win in Week 17 Seattle Seahawks . Playoff odds tell how likely an MLB team will win the division, wild card berth or win the World Series. Despite suffering a Week 18 loss to Denver, Los Angeles found its groove over the second half. Bucks 3-2. FiveThirtyEight's 2022 college football predictions calculate each team's chances of winning its conference, making the playoff and winning a championship. Point spread: Ravens (-1. (10 by FanDuel), a paltry 23 percent chance at the playoffs (FanDuel with sixth-best odds), and a mere 1 percent crack at the title (FD against with sixth-best odds). See odds, expert picks and TV Schedule for Game 3 of the 2023 Stanley Cup Final. With six playoff teams coming out of each 16-team conference, the maximum possible value of the Gini. Odds to MISS NFL Playoff at @BetMGM. 2021 NFL Predictions. FiveThirtyEight's 2021 NFL playoff projection model has the Browns with a 20 percent chance of making the playoffs, the ninth-best odds in the AFC with seven playoff spots up for grabs. There are a few heavy favorites to reach the postseason, including the undefeated San Francisco 49ers and Philadelphia Eagles in the NFC and the defending Super Bowl champion Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC. 3 pick in the NFL Draft. More. The. NFL playoff odds: Teams offering the most value. After breaking down the playoff picture, here's a more in depth at every team's playoff odds for this season: 2023 NFL Playoff Odds; Team Make Playoffs Miss Playoffs; Arizona Cardinals +900-1800: Atlanta Falcons +120-150: Baltimore Ravens-150 +120: Buffalo Bills-250 +195: Carolina Panthers +160-200:. A team having a 100 percent chance to miss the playoffs might be closer to 99. Odds for the Cincinnati Bengals to make each round of the 2021 playoffs as the field stands vs. Take, for example, Sunday’s game between the New. What to know: The Bengals are the No. 19. . Record. Ravens 28, Browns 3. More. FanGraphs simulates each season 10,000 times to generate the probabilities. Additional contributions by Aaron Bycoffe, Ritchie King and Kshitij Aranke. . In 2022, seven of the 12 playoff teams didn’t make the postseason in the year prior, and seven playoff teams from 2021 failed to qualify this. How Each NFL Team’s Playoff Odds Have Changed This. Oddsmakers are well aware: The Bulldogs opened as 13. Schedule Standings Stats Teams Depth Charts Daily Lines More We tiered each team's likelihood of making the postseason, from the Super Bowl favorites to the No. Due to the incredibly small sample size, one regular season game going wrong can have massive playoff implications, and one playoff game wrong and it’s over as there is no best of X like baseball/basketball. The New York Jets (4-6) lost to the Buffalo Bills on Sunday, dropping their chances of making the playoffs slightly to 1 percent. 2. Better. The Best MLB Playoff Odds from the Top Online Sportsbooks in the USA. If the Eagles win against Washington, their playoff odds leap to 90%. 4% . 2 and No. com. FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society. Along those lines, and between the same guardrails, FiveThirtyEight updated its 2022 College Football Playoff Predictions model after the initial release of the 2022 College Football rankings on Tuesday, and it did indeed change some things from before that baseline was set. What we’re looking at this week: Week 1 of the NFL season already has us changing our minds. The World Series is underway, and legal online sportsbooks have MLB playoff betting odds for every game. 59 last week. Get the free Action Network app for expert picks, live odds, bet tracking and more. American League champions the Texas Rangers are the current favorites to win the World Series at odds. NFL wild-card playoff best bets *Odds and analysis as of Monday 1/9* Chargers -1. 31st. SBR - trusted by bettors for over 20 years. Let's evaluate last season's playoff teams and rate their chances of making it back in January. Every time you visit Dimers for our NFL predictions this week, you will be getting the most. May 2, 2023. FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society. The Cowboys still have a 30% chance of making NFC champs with their current. The 2021 WNBA playoffs aren’t finished yet, but its regular season saw a gap of 392 points between the best and worst teams. 55 to 0. It is also on a 15-6 roll on top-rated NFL. 4, 2018 at 10:21 PM. Teams like the Kansas City Chiefs (-4,000) and Miami. The Gini coefficient for NFC playoff probabilities increased from 0. UPDATED Jun. 6% implied probability) FiveThirtyEight Projection: 27% . 55 to 0. Total weighted change in playoff odds: 100. Browns Betting Insights The Browns have put together a 6-3-1 record against the spread. Here's a look at live odds on NFL teams to make the playoffs on the best sports betting apps: Bet NFL Now: Best NFL Betting Promos & Bonuses . 10 But that line is. Standings. 500 record. 20% –. With their win, the 49ers climbed 14 percentage points in our playoff odds to 76 percent, while the Bengals fell 15 points to 29 percent. Left for dead at 1-5, the Broncos find themselves still in the playoff race at . 09-07-2023 • 8 min read. The models continue to show a greater than 10 percentage point disagreement on the playoff odds of the Cincinnati Bengals (69 percent for Elo, 52 percent for Inpredictable), Carolina Panthers (24. The Green Bay Packers (8-8) beat the Minnesota Vikings in Week 17, raising their chances of making the playoffs to 62 percent from 31 percent. In fact, what are the other contenders’ odds of making the four teams that get to battle it out for national supremacy? An offer for Buckeyes fans. Louis. NYG: Giants are 0-2 ATS this year after going 14-5 in 2022, including playoffs; Giants vs. 3%) Biggest strength: Offensive depth. . A positive number (+) means they are not favored to win. Cincinnati Bengals +570. FiveThirtyEight's 2019 NFL forecast uses an Elo-based model to calculate each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning the Super Bowl. Against the Chargers, he had a QBR of just 29. Just six teams were unanimously picked to make the playoffs, while 24 teams (75% of the league) got at least one vote for a playoff spot. More. Design and development by Jay Boice. By Nate Silver. Josh Allen helped spearhead the effort. The Chiefs And Eagles Made The Super Bowl With Grit, Talent, Heart And (Yes) Luck. . Until 2022, the highest preseason odds of any team in the playoff era belonged to 2018 Alabama, whose odds adjusted to 30. As we get set for NFL Week 3, the early season playoff picture continues to come into focus. Heading into Week 14, Tua led the NFL in dropbacks with motion at the snap, and he had a raw QBR of 63. 35. Next >. The 5 Most Exciting Super Bowls Ever. How this works: These forecasts are based on 50,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Give me the Saints at -190 to make the playoffs, or take the better odds of +120 to win the division. The AFC playoff spots are far harder to break into than the ones in the NFC. Here are more odds to make the NFL Playoffs. We played out one of our Football Power Index's 20,000 season sims, from Week 1 through Super Bowl LVIII, with playoff races, surprises and more. FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society. If you believe in Houston, here's your chance to bet the Texans at plus-money odds that might not be available next week. Despite entering the playoffs with 10 or more regular-season wins seven times since 2002, the organization has yet to make the NFC title game since its Super Bowl XXX win in 1996. Here are the 14 teams we are projecting to make the playoffs, plus every team's chances of getting in CBSSports. 5-point favorites with a chance to become the third team in the playoff era to go 15-0 and win the national championship. With the complete field. 10. Below is a breakdown of the playoff odds for all 32 clubs, along with a look at each team’s current state of affairs. The Cardinals are 2-8 following a home win over the Falcons on Sunday. Daily Lines. Total. FiveThirtyEight's 2021-22 NHL forecast predicts the winner of each hockey game and calculates each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning the Stanley Cup. The deluge of. 2 and No. Rankings SoS Wins Playoffs Super Bowl. We asked 10 NFL analysts to weigh in on next season's Super Bowl winner, MVP candidates, breakout players and most. com ): 31 percent. of the 2023 NFL. Every forecast update is based on 20,000 simulations of the remaining season. The sample sizes are tiny: With a one-and-done playoff structure, the league plays only 11 playoff games each year. Like squeezing a balloon, if one team’s playoff chances decline, other teams’ chances expand. . Make Playoffs. Given their standing in the division and the games remaining, the simulator thinks the Chargers have about a 47 percent chance of making the playoffs, represented by the large number at the top. It’s a 54 percent favorite to make the playoffs, up from 38 percent last week. Stay up to date with the Current MLB Playoff odds and futures for the 2023 Baseball season. The early playoff picture continues to take shape as the focus shifts to NFL Week 6 action. Dolphins QB Tua Tagovailoa is the top MVP favorite at +370 after throwing for three TDs in Sunday’s win. What we’re looking at this week: Week 1 of the NFL season already has us changing our minds. Despite suffering a Week 18 loss to Denver, Los Angeles found its groove over the second half. The Lions were in a must-win scenario in Week 17 to keep their playoff chances alive. 78 total) Michigan Wolverines: -260 (bet $10 to win $13. 95. Filed under Football. The early playoff picture continues to take shape as the focus shifts to NFL Week 6 action. . Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. The deluge of. Filed under NFL. Here are the playoff odds for the Seahawks and the other 31 NFL teams: No team has clinched a playoff berth so far, although some are all but certain to make it. Week 11’s Game Changing Plays see the Seahawks settle for a long field goal…and lose. One of those games is Eagles at Chiefs in Week 11. Share this article 371 shares share tweet text email link Phil Harrison. Clay's projections for the 2023 NFL season: Best, worst offenses and defenses, X factors and team rankings. Below, we’ll look at the best lines for each NFL team’s hopes of making it to the playoffs in the 2023-24 season. FiveThirtyEight's 2022 NFL forecast uses an Elo-based model to calculate each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning the Super Bowl. Eighteen teams still have a shot at the final eight spots,. NFL Week 9 Elo Ratings And Playoff Odds. These two teams have to be among the most difficult to. Elo’s straight-up record of picking winners is 64-26-1 on the year (10-4-1 in Week 6) or a 71 percent winning percentage. Here are the playoff odds for the Seahawks and the other 31 NFL teams: No team has clinched a playoff berth so far, although some are all but certain to make it. The round is wrapped up with a Monday Night Football game on. Bengals and Chiefs vs. Stats. View the 2023 NFL power index on ESPN. (13 teams didn't. Only eight didn't receive a single vote. Schedule. 78dMike Clay.